September 24, 2024
Bank of England Governor expects interest to fall
Andrew Bailey, the Governor of the Bank of England, has suggested he expects interest rates to fall but is not so open to suggesting when. However, let's take it as good news.
Andrew Bailey has said he expects interest rates to come down, but he has been less specific about suggesting it will be a gradual process. Falling inflation encourages him.
However, there is some less encouraging news for borrowers. Bailey noted that whilst he does expect rates to fall, they will never return to the low point we have been used to for many years. His 'best guess' was that 3% appears to be where it will settle over the next decade. Yes, you read the correctly, decade.
This is no real surprise; the conditions that caused interest rates to fall to their lowest point of 0.5% in 2009 and not rise above 1% until 2022 were significant economic shocks. Two of them. You could argue we have had shocks in recent times, but none as big as those many years ago.
Most (80%) economists recently polled by Reuters suggest the rate will be reduced one more time this year, probably in November.
Time will tell, but a nice Christmas present from the Bank of England would be another cut to interest rates before the end of 2024.
Lee Wisener CeMAP, CeRER, CeFAP, CSME
I am the owner of this site. If there is anything wrong, it's on me! If you want to get in touch, please email me at [email protected]. The site has grown so quickly, I honestly didnt expect the interest or the support, so thank you to everyone who has dropped me a line. More is coming, and I am spending time making it simpler, easier to understand, and also updating it regularly.
Comments (0)
Want to comment on this page? Login or Register.