Market health

Economic Dashboard

A simple housing market health check. Each panel shows the latest published figure. Its status reflects whether conditions improved, stayed level, or worsened across recent releases.

Last updated: 6 Oct 2026

Property Market Stress Index

Eight housing and economic indicators combined into one current score.

42 / 100
Elevated risk

Market signals summary

At-a-glance view

The wider housing market currently looks mixed but broadly balanced. The main area to watch is mortgage approvals.

Positive
2
Neutral
2
Warning
4
Stress
0
How to read these signals Show

Each card shows the latest published figure, not an average created by this dashboard. The status is based on consecutive published releases.

Positive means the latest movement improved. Neutral means it was unchanged. Warning means one or two consecutive worsening releases, and Stress means three or more.

Direction depends on the indicator. Lower inflation, Bank rate, unemployment, arrears and repossessions are positive. Higher approvals, house prices and wage growth are positive.

Mortgage approvals

Warning

Latest published figure

56,053 approvals

Jul 2026

Compared with Jun 2026

↓ -3.7% vs Jun 2026

Buyer demand is weakening.

What this means

More approvals usually mean more buyers are active. That can support prices if the number of homes for sale stays tight.

Recent trend

Recent trend shown for context only.

House prices (UK average)

Positive

Latest published figure

£272,611

Jul 2026

Compared with Jun 2026

↑ +£1,934 vs Jun 2026 (0.7%)

House prices increased in the latest release.

What this means

Stable or gently rising prices usually point to a healthier market backdrop. Falling prices can mean buyers are becoming more cautious or affordability is stretched.

Recent trend

Recent trend shown for context only.

Bank rate

Neutral

Latest published figure

3.75%

Effective since 18 Dec 2025

Compared with Sep 2026

• Unchanged vs Sep 2026

Bank rate is unchanged from last month.

What this means

The Bank rate influences mortgage pricing. Higher rates usually make it harder for buyers and remortgaging households to keep monthly payments comfortable.

Recent trend

Recent trend shown for context only.

Inflation

Warning

Latest published figure

3.3%

Sep 2026

Compared with Aug 2026

↑ +0.2 pts vs Aug 2026

Inflation is rising.

What this means

Lower inflation usually eases pressure on household budgets and can support the outlook for interest rates. Higher inflation can keep pressure on borrowing costs and living costs.

Recent trend

Recent trend shown for context only.

Wage growth

Warning

Latest published figure

3.90%

Jul 2026

Real wage growth: 1.10%

Compared with Jun 2026

↓ -0.30 pts vs Jun 2026

Wage growth is falling.

What this means

If wages are rising faster than inflation, buyers may find it easier to save or borrow. If not, affordability can stay tight even when rates stop rising.

Recent trend

Recent trend shown for context only.

Unemployment

Neutral

Latest published figure

5.0%

Jul 2026

Compared with Jun 2026

• Unchanged vs Jun 2026

Unemployment was unchanged in the latest release.

What this means

Low unemployment usually supports confidence and mortgage repayments. Rising unemployment can reduce demand and increase financial strain for some households.

Recent trend

Recent trend shown for context only.

Mortgage arrears

Positive

Latest published figure

0.900%

Q2 2026

Compared with Q1 2026

↓ -0.190 pts vs Q1 2026

Mortgage arrears fell in the latest release.

What this means

Arrears can be an early sign of financial stress. A rising trend can matter even before repossessions move higher.

Recent trend

Recent trend shown for context only.

Repossessions

Warning

Latest published figure

0.090%

Q2 2026

Compared with Q1 2026

↑ +0.010 pts vs Q1 2026

Repossessions are rising.

What this means

Repossessions are still a very small share of mortgages, but the direction matters. A rising trend can point to pressure building after arrears have already increased.

Recent trend

Recent trend shown for context only.